Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 12

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)


	Londrina		Mirassol

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3	2.15
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.59	3.13	2.3
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.35	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.65)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	2.24 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
28.2%

Draw
30.3%

Mirassol
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Londrina's form might have worsened.

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Londrina - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Frigeri (G) 4. Gabriel 3. Da Silva 6. Guilherme Lacerda 2. Ezequiel 8. Moises Gaucho 5. Joao Paulo (C) 7. Carlos Jatoba 9. Clinton 10. Higor Leite 11. Iago Dias	1. Alex Muralha (C) 2. Lucas Ramon 3. Thalisson Kelven 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Guilherme Biro 8. Danielzinho 5. Yuri Lima 7. Chico Kim 10. Gabriel 11. Negueba 9. Kauan
Substitutes
19. Caio Mancha 18. Diego Jardel 23. Matheus Lucas 20. Natham 14. Nicolas Schulz 16. Patrick Marcelino 17. Peu 12. Saulo (G) 15. Victor Hugo 21. Vinicius Barata 22. Vitor Feijao 13. Xandao	20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 15. Flavio Silva 22. Heitor 21. Juninho 18. Leandro Vilela 16. Manoel 13. Renie 14. Rodrigo Sam 17. Silvinho 19. Vico
Coaches
Gusmao P. C.	Mozart

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

Londrina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mirassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Londrina: Clayton (Injury) Garraty (Injury) Junior Dutra (Injury) Lucas Coelho (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Fernandinho (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Ituano - Londrina	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Londrina - Ceará	1:3 ✺
19.05.23	Tombense - Londrina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
07.06.23	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Mirassol - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

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