Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)


	Guayaquil City		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.81	3.31	4.58
	1.72	3.36	5.06	Watch
	1.76	3.13	4.75	Watch
	1.5	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.64)	4.85 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
53.9%

Draw
27.2%

9 de Octubre
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guayaquil City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-2%)

Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - 9 de Octubre (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Guayaquil City is Qualified for Liga Pro (First stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4.

Guayaquil City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

9 de Octubre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guayaquil City has had a series of away games.

Recently, 9 de Octubre has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guayaquil City is a strong favorite.

We predict that Guayaquil City will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.10.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.10.25	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.10.25	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
18.09.25	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
21.09.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2
19.06.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:1
10.04.25	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	0:1
24.10.24	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2
04.09.24	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:0
21.05.24	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:1
27.03.24	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:0

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