Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Leones del Norte		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.56	3.45	7.03
	1.69	3.22	5.73	Watch
	1.65	3.56	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)	3.41 ↓ (3.8)	6.09 ↓ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
57.2%

Draw
27.4%

9 de Octubre
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

23.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.7%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leones del Norte is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.09.25	San Antonio - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.08.25	Leones del Norte - Orense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTLW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
21.09.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
18.09.25	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.09.25	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
26.08.25	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.06.25	9 de Octubre - Leones del Norte	1:0
27.03.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	1:1
07.09.24	9 de Octubre - Leones del Norte	1:0
18.07.24	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	0:0
15.05.24	9 de Octubre - Leones del Norte	0:0
22.03.24	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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