Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Guayaquil City		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.1	5.25	Watch
	1.54	3.65	7.23
	1.53	3.79	6.38	Watch
	1.58	3.36	5.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.95)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	6.2 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
58.6%

Draw
26.5%

San Antonio
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Guayaquil City - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3.

Guayaquil City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Antonio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Antonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, San Antonio has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guayaquil City is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
06.08.25	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW
- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.09.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	1:4 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
13.08.25	San Antonio - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	San Antonio - Leones del Norte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
05.06.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	0:1
26.03.25	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	4:1
13.10.24	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	2:0
17.07.24	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	2:0
15.05.24	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	2:2
21.03.24	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	4:0

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