The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gualaceo 40%
Draw 31.6%
Guayaquil City 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
32.1%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
34.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gualaceo's performance.
Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guayaquil City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
5.3%
73.7%
Gualaceo - Guayaquil City Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guayaquil City: 58.6% – 97%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guayaquil City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Alvarado C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Medina J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 0.
Gualaceo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guayaquil City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Guayaquil City has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Ecuador
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