Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gubbio		Fano

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.9	3.25	3.65
	1.87	2.95	4.1
	1.9	3.28	4.11
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.92	3.05	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.79)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	3.77 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
45.6%

Draw
29.8%

Fano
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.6%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+25.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Fano is Serie C to Play Out

Gubbio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Imolese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Gubbio - Mantova	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Gubbio - Carpi	0:4 ✺
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Fano - Triestina	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Matelica - Fano	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Fano - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	FeralpiSalò - Fano	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Fano - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.21	Fano - Gubbio	1:1
26.01.20	Fano - Gubbio	0:2
14.09.19	Gubbio - Fano	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.08.19	Gubbio - Fano	6:0
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.19	Fano - Gubbio	1:1
07.10.18	Gubbio - Fano	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.08.18	Fano - Gubbio	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	✺

Gubbio - Fano