Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Guidonia Montecelio		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	2.58	2.82	2.88
	2.64	2.81	3.04
	2.55	2.82	2.94	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.8
	2.52	2.72	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)	2.78 ↓ (3.28)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
35.8%

Draw
32.7%

Vis Pesaro
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stellato G. (G) 27. Viteritti O. 2. Esempio S. 13. Mule E. 3. Frascatore P. 80. Franchini S. 14. Santoro S. 99. Tessiore A. 8. Errico A. 23. Starita E. 24. Russo L.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 5. Tonucci D. 6. Di Renzo G. 63. Barranco G. 77. Durmush M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 55. Mariani E. 99. Ventre A. 20. Giovannini R. 28. Machin J. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
22. Avella M. (G) 31. Bafaro A. 5. Cristini A. 50. D'Isanto A. (G) 11. Marchioro R. 18. Miccoli D. 7. Sannipoli D. 10. Spavone A. 4. Toma R. 9. Tounkara M. 77. Zappella D.	27. Bastianelli R. 34. Cataudella D. 80. Chudy W. 25. Fraternale A. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 97. Lari N. 2. Piras M. 18. Pisano M. G. 3. Zoia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mariani E. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
46', Di Renzo G. ↓, Zoia R. ↑,
46', Ventre A. ↓, Piras M. ↑,
46', Errico A. ↓, Spavone A. ↑,
56', Di Paola M. 🟨,
69', Russo L. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
70', Giovannini R. ↓, Fraternale A. ↑,
79', Pozzi A. 🟨,
79', Starita E. ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
83', Esempio S. 🟨,
88', Nicastro F. ↓, Pisano M. G. ↑,
88', Frascatore P. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
90+1', Piras M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Guidonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vis Pesaro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Guidonia	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16
20	Vis Pesaro	9	1	1	7	10:20	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.63%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sassari Torres - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Pianese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Bra	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1

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