Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6.25	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.52	3.8	6.4
	1.53	3.89	5.92
	1.52	3.75	6.11	Watch
	1.53	3.82	6
	1.52	3.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)	3.74 ↓ (4.1)	6.05 ↓ (9.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa
60.2%

Draw
24.6%

Ourense CF
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

22.3%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

20.8%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leonesa - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 15. Ruiz V. 4. Rodri Suarez 17. Martinez A. 14. Bicho 8. Barri 21. Artola J. 10. Chacon L. 7. Calderon C. 9. Justo M.	13. Guillen P. (G) 7. Carbonell J. 4. Carmona F. 5. Prado M. 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Sanz H. 8. Ramos J. 6. Fidalgo A. 16. Juanma Bravo 9. Di Renzo G. 10. Gil A.
Substitutes
19. Escobar A. 5. Fornos Q. 16. Maestre S. 12. Ortega G. 6. Presa K. 27. Ramirez K. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 3. Satrustegui E.	2. Andrada F. 14. del Olmo I. 23. Fullana F. 11. Gil A. 1. Marqueta R. (G) 22. Noriega J. 17. Prada R. 21. Raigal J. 20. Sanchez A. 15. Zalaya A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Artola J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Justo M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ourense CF is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leonesa to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.24	Leonesa - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Leonesa - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Zamora - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWT
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
22.09.24	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Barcelona B - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL

Upcoming Matches