Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	3.2
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.6	2.6	3.15
	2.7	2.74	3.24
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.49	3.05	3.05
	2.48	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
37%

Draw
32.8%

Deportivo Morón
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

33.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillermo Brown: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Velasquez S. 3. Valor M. 8. Werro V. 5. Barrios E. 10. Gonzalez A. 7. Luayza M. 9. Pino M. 11. Fernandez M.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Coronel M. 6. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 8. Berterame G. 5. Ubeda S. 10. Orosco B. 11. Coronel S. 7. Garcia F. 9. Rescaldani E.
Substitutes
16. Assennato T. 20. Baez B. 14. Garcia E. 19. Hernandez S. 17. Navarro G. 18. Rolle M. 13. Tecilla N. 12. Velazquez F. (G) 15. Viera Gaston	20. Allione A. 15. Caceres P. 18. Calderon P. 17. Kubiszyn S. 13. Ledesma M. I. 12. Monzon D. (G) 19. Sala S. G. 14. Schelotto E. 16. Schonfeld M.
Coaches
Esmerado G.	Nardozza F.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guillermo Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLW
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.23	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Deportivo Morón - Temperley	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.02.23	Deportivo Morón - Guillermo Brown	0:0
19.03.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:0
18.09.21	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:1
08.05.21	Deportivo Morón - Guillermo Brown	0:0
16.02.20	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	1:2
24.08.19	Deportivo Morón - Guillermo Brown	1:0
31.03.19	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	3:1

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