Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guingamp		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.28	3.3	2.92
	2.45	3.45	2.99
	8.93	3.64	1.47	Watch
	2.43	3.34	2.78	Watch
	2.31	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (1.97)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	2.68 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
31.2%

Draw
30.4%

Nancy
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nancy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Guingamp - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Guingamp (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Nancy (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Nancy (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nancy (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 22. Sissoko A. 29. Abdallah A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 20. Hatchi J. 8. Sidibe K. 24. Ott G. 27. Kielt S. 9. Mafouta L.	1. Basilio E. (G) 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 77. Nahounou Y. 8. Bouabdelli W. 6. Bouriaud T. 19. Experience M. 17. Carlier M. 29. Ouotro P. 7. Fdaouch Z.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 36. Demouchy A. 40. Marec N. (G) 21. Mbemba F. 6. N'Landu D. 23. Ourega D. 11. Sagna A.	23. Bamba R. 20. Bokangu B. 13. Camara B. 10. Dabasse A. 22. Evans J. 40. Kenzo N. (G) 27. Maouassa F.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Correa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Ouotro P. ⚽,
58', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
58', Ott G. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Gomis D. ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
63', Carlier M. 🟨,
67', Bouriaud T. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
67', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
70', Carlier M. 🟨,
75', Ouotro P. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Fdaouch Z. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
79', Sidibe K. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
79', Kielt S. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
90+2', Ourega D. 🟨,
90+3', Gomis D. 🟨,
90+3', Fernandez N. 🟨,
90+4', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
90+7', Fernandez N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.

Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nancy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)

There will not play in Nancy: Dabasse A. (Inactive) Mendy E. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nancy: Ouotro P. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Guingamp - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
27.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2 ✺
15.09.25	Guingamp - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bastia - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Nancy - Reims	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Annecy - Nancy	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Nancy - Red Star	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Troyes - Nancy	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Nancy - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.03.22	Guingamp - Nancy	3:1
16.10.21	Nancy - Guingamp	2:1
16.01.21	Guingamp - Nancy	0:0
29.08.20	Nancy - Guingamp	2:2
15.02.20	Nancy - Guingamp	0:1
13.09.19	Guingamp - Nancy	1:1
Coupe De France
22.01.19	Nancy - Guingamp	1:2 ET

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