Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Rodez		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.05
	3.6	3.25	2.05
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.98	3.2	2.13
	3.8	3	2.05	Watch
	3.94	3.28	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.75)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	2.06 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
25.1%

Draw
29.5%

Le Havre
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodez's form might have worsened.

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	4.5%	68.2%

Rodez - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3).

Rodez has the most likely position - 19 (11.88%), has project points - 41, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 2 (13.37%), has project points - 64, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

This event has quality 31, importance 44, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Le Havre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Pau - Rodez	2:2 ✺
04.10.22	Guingamp - Rodez	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Rodez - Amiens	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Paris FC - Rodez	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Rodez - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTLWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Le Havre - Bastia	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Dijon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Le Havre - Annecy	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.01.22	Le Havre - Rodez	0:0
14.08.21	Rodez - Le Havre	0:0
24.04.21	Rodez - Le Havre	1:1
22.12.20	Le Havre - Rodez	1:1
29.11.19	Rodez - Le Havre	1:2

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