Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Le Havre		Bastia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.2
	1.88	3.15	4.35
	1.93	3.1	4
	1.98	3.21	4.57
	1.95	3	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3.28	4.3	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	4.2 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Havre
48.3%

Draw
29.6%

Bastia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	43.5%	13%

Le Havre - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 4 (10.05%), has project points - 61, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Bastia has the most likely position - 11 (7.79%), has project points - 51, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 28, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Le Havre in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bastia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Dijon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Le Havre - Annecy	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Laval - Le Havre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Annecy - Bastia	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Bastia - Metz	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.02.22	Le Havre - Bastia	2:4
28.08.21	Bastia - Le Havre	0:0

Upcoming Matches