Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 16

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.15	Watch
	1.65	3.84	5.09
	1.64	3.90	5.19	Watch
	1.68	3.66	5.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	5.23 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
57%

Draw
25.1%

Wisła Płock
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 8. Hellebrand P. 18. Ambros L. 30. Sow O. 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S. 7. Zahovic L.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 21. Rogelj Z. 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 14. Kun D. 8. Pacheco D. 30. Nowak W. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 9. Niarchos G.
Substitutes
22. Abdullahi A. 28. Donio B. 19. Dziegielewski N. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 79. Goh Young-Jun 81. Kmet M. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 92. Pietryga P. (G) 55. Pingot M. 10. Podolski L. 5. Szczesniak K.	2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I. 84. Tavares T. 37. Tomczyk O.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Kaminski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Niarchos G. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽, Pacheco D. (A),
67', Sekulski L. 🟨,
69', Josema ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
69', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
70', Olkowski P. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Liseth S. ⚽, Lukoszek K. (A),
82', Salvador I. 🟨,
83', Nowak W. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
84', Sekulski L. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
84', Zahovic L. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
84', Ambros L. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
88', Liseth S. 🟨,
88', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
88', Rogelj Z. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Górnik Zabrze is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.11.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia	5:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.11.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.23	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	3:2
05.09.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
04.04.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	3:2
02.10.21	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	4:2
24.04.21	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	0:2
07.12.20	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
06.07.20	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	1:0

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