Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
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Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Wisła Płock		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.98
	2.33	3.76	2.76	Watch
	2.24	3.42	3	Watch
	2.23	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.33)	3.5 ↓ (3.76)	2.98 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
41.7%

Draw
26.8%

Pogoń Szczecin
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Pogoń Szczecin aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pogoń Szczecin (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 19. Edmundsson A. 84. Tavares T. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 35. Kaminski M. 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 21. Rogelj Z. 30. Nowak W. 14. Kun D. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 99. Juric D.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 32. Koutris L. 13. Keramitsis D. 2. Huja M. 15. Ali H. 8. Ulvestad F. 19. Ndiaye M. 10. Przyborek A. 9. Molnar R. 7. Juwara M. 11. Grosicki K. (C)
Substitutes
2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 9. Niarchos G. 8. Pacheco D. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I.	6. Bieganski J. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 4. Leo Borges 17. Lis J. 22. Loncar D. 3. Mendy B. 18. Mukairu P. 20. Paryzek P. 14. Pozo J. 61. Smolinski K.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Tavares T. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Koutris L. (Own goal),
45+1', Juwara M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juwara M. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
46', Ali H. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
46', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
55', Tavares T. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Pacheco D. ⚽,
70', Nowak W. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
70', Juric D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
70', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
76', Ulvestad F. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
76', Ndiaye M. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
87', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.

In recent matches, Wisła Płock has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive) Wahlqvist L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTTL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	3:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.02.23	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
13.08.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	2:2
08.04.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	1:2
17.10.21	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
10.04.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	2:0
02.12.20	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0
Polish Cup
20.11.20	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 penalties

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