Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)


	San Martín de San Juan		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.3	4.5	Watch
	2	2.85	3.9
	1.8	3.25	4.35	Watch
	1.84	3.37	4.53
	1.81	3.37	4.49	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.4
	1.79	3.18	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)	3.22 ↓ (3.27)	4.37 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
50.2%

Draw
28.7%

Deportivo Maipú
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

28.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

30.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 8. Acosta G. 2. Aguilera E. 6. Cocca M. 9. Funez N. 10. Hachen G. 7. Jaurena S. 11. Juncos B. 4. Murillo F. 5. Pelaitay N. 3. Zuliani H.	1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 10. Eggel M. (C) 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. 4. Ortale M. 2. Paulini S. 9. Rivarola F. 7. Saccone F.
Substitutes
19. Acosta N. 18. Gonzalez S. 17. Iachetti N. 14. Marchio J. 16. Monje L. 15. Nadalin F. 13. Osores M. 20. Rossi G. 12. Velazco M. (G)	19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 20. Giacone J. 17. Nazar J. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J. 14. Villareal

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Hachen G. ⚽, Funez N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Aguilera E. 🟨,
62', Rivarola F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
62', Juncos B. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
63', Hachen G. ↓, Iachetti N. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Silva T. ⚽, Mansilla G. (A),
76', Pelaitay N. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
76', Acosta G. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Iachetti N. ⚽, Zuliani H. (A),
81', Jaurena S. ↓, Nadalin F. ↑,
86', Bonfigli M. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
86', Ortale M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
87', Murillo F. 🟨,
90+2', Nadalin F. 🟨,
90+6', Paulini S. 🟨,

Preview

San Martín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Maipú is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Martín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Martín is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de San Juan	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.05.26	Platense - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Colegiales - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLW
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	0:5 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
24.02.24	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de San Juan	0:2
29.10.23	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
29.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de San Juan	2:2

Upcoming Matches