Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	HJK		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.25
	2.35	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.27	3.4	3.05
	2.28	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
41.3%

Draw
28.2%

Aberdeen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

HJK - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Maenpaa N. (G) 6. Halme A. 15. Tenho M. (C) 14. Peltola M. 23. Soiri P. 10. Lingman L. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 18. Keskinen T. 7. Hostikka S. 9. Radulovic B. 17. Bande H.	24. Roos K. (G) 33. Rubezic S. 27. MacDonald A. 5. Jensen R. 28. Milne J. 21. Polvara D. 8. Barron C. 23. Duncan R. 17. Hayes J. (C) 14. Gueye P. 11. Duk
Substitutes
5. Da Graca K. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Ollila T. 29. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 19. Paananen A. 22. Raitala J. 8. Rogic F. 37. Tanaka A. 4. Toivio J.	10. Clarkson L. 30. Dadia O. 2. Devlin N. 31. Doohan R. (G) 6. Gartenmann S. 32. Marshall F. 15. McGarry J. 7. McGrath J. 9. Miovski B. 4. Shinnie G. 19. Sokler E. 18. Williams R.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Robson B.

Preview

HJK has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aberdeen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aberdeen have a series of guest games.

HJK will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in HJK: Iliev D. (Elbow Injury) Radulovic B. (Injury) Stjopin M. (Injury)

There will not play in Aberdeen: Morris S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	HJK - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
26.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - HJK	6:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	VPS Vaasa - HJK	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aberdeen - HJK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
26.11.23	Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Celtic - Aberdeen	6:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	PAOK - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
04.11.23	Hibernian - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.11.23	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aberdeen - HJK	1:1

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