Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	Ajax		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.10	9.50	21.00	Watch
	1.12	10.50	17.50
	1.10	9.50	18.00
	1.12	10.80	22.60
	1.12	9.76	17.65	Watch
	1.11	10.00	18.00
	1.11	10.30	22.00	Watch
	1.10	10.00	18.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.17)	10.05 ↑ (7.09)	19.34 ↑ (15.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
85.6%

Draw
9.5%

Willem II
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Ajax - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.91) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - Ajax & Yes (2.20) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Paes M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 6. Kehrer T. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 24. Mokio J. 8. Brandt J. 23. Berghuis S. 9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O.	26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Twigt C. 52. Vilhena T. 22. van Loon P. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Slory J. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
4. Amrabat S. 99. Arokodare T. 12. Caio Henrique 20. Edvardsen O. 3. Gaaei A. 36. Janse D. 38. Marcos Leonardo 68. Ouazane A. 51. Setford C. (G) 1. ter Stegen M. (G) 21. Torrents J. 11. Tsygankov V.	2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 50. Gurbuz E. 83. Lemmens M. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 10. Schuurman J. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Michel	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Klaassen D. ⚽, Dolberg K. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Rosa L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', van Loon P. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
46', Vilhena T. ↓, Lemmens M. ↑,
57', Berghuis S. ↓, Tsygankov V. ↑,
57', Klaassen D. ↓, Amrabat S. ↑,
61', ter Avest H. ↓, Et Taibi A. ↑,
67', Wijndal O. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
67', Brandt J. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
70', Slory J. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Gloukh O. ⚽, Dolberg K. (A),
76', 4 - 1, Ciranni A. ⚽, van Aalst U. (A),
77', Kehrer T. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
84', Dekker M. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Dolberg K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5.

Ajax is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Willem II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Adingra S. (Foot Injury) Blind D. (Injury) Bouwman A. (Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Culum A. (Foot Injury) Didillon Hodl T. (Hamstring Injury) Hoogma J. (Inactive) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Zarrouk A. (Surgery) van Crooij V. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:12. (average 2.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:6. (average 2.8:0.6).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 5.05% Willem II: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21:9	12	14
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
12.09.26	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Telstar - Ajax	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Ajax - Sion	5:3 ✺
20.08.26	Sion - Ajax	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
11.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Willem II - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
13.04.25	Willem II - Ajax	1:2
27.10.24	Ajax - Willem II	1:0
19.02.22	Willem II - Ajax	0:1
02.12.21	Ajax - Willem II	5:0
28.01.21	Ajax - Willem II	3:1
23.12.20	Willem II - Ajax	1:1
26.04.20	Willem II - Ajax	Canceled

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