The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hajduk Split 57.2%
Draw 25.2%
Varaždin 17.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
29.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
28.5%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Hajduk Split - Varaždin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Silic T. (G) 22. Acapandie M. 6. Hadzikadunic D. 15. Maresic D. 17. Melnjak D. 8. Fayad K. 20. del Moral A. 16. Sutalo A. 9. de Almeida D. 23. Soticek M. 10. Livaja M. (C)
33. Silic J. (C) 30. Posinkovic L. 13. Mladenovski M. 16. Tepsic N. 3. Durakovic E. 8. Duvnjak T. 12. Bockaj P. 22. Mamic L. 28. Canjuga I. 38. Tavares I. 10. Latkovic A.
Substitutes
18. Dendoncker L. 99. Fesyuk D. (G) 3. Gabric R. 32. Hrgovic S. 26. Huram A. 77. Martin C. 4. Pajaziti A. 14. Raci R. 7. Sanyang A. 11. Sego M. 44. Stipica D. (G) 5. Van Hoorenbeeck A.
17. Akrap V. 9. Juric S. 5. Lesjak S. 19. Lukanic L. 24. Marina M. 1. McCrorie R. (G) 21. Posavec I. 6. Puclin D. 14. Puncec R. 20. Sikosek G. 4. Skaricic L. 11. Uchegbu E.
Coaches
Garcia G.
Safaric N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Durakovic E. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
33', Maresic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
58', Sutalo A. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
63', Duvnjak T. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
63', Bockaj P. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
63', Latkovic A. 🟨,
65', Melnjak D. ↓, Hrgovic S. ↑,
66', del Moral A. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
66', Livaja M. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
74', Soticek M. ↓, Huram A. ↑,
76', Mamic L. ↓, Posavec I. ↑,
76', Latkovic A. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Acapandie M. ⚽, Sanyang A. (A),
90', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Varaždin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Varaždin has had a run of games away from home.
Hajduk carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Hajduk: Brajkovic R.
(Knee Injury)
Ivusic I.
(Illness)
Pajaziti A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Varaždin: Vuk M.
(Knock).
Doubtful / questionable for Hajduk: Fayad K.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hajduk has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:18 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hajduk against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 23:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Hajduk Split
11
7
2
2
21:11
10
23
3
Varazdin
11
5
3
3
15:10
5
18
Last Results with these Odds
Hajduk Split - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.39%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.