The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hajduk Split 61%
Draw 22.3%
Varaždin 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
23.5%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
24.7%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Hajduk Split - Varaždin Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Silic T. (G) 8. Sigur N. 31. Sarlija Z. 15. Maresic D. 17. Melnjak D. 28. Brajkovic R. 4. Pajaziti A. 30. Almena I. 21. Pukstas R. 11. Sego M. 10. Livaja M. (C)
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 2. Lesjak S. 44. Barac M. 25. Borsic A. (C) 6. Puclin D. 8. Duvnjak T. 7. Vuk M. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 10. Latkovic A.
Substitutes
5. Diallo I. 34. Durdov B. 3. Gabric R. 6. Guillamon H. 26. Guram A. 38. Hodak L. 32. Hrgovic S. 1. Ivusic I. (G) 7. Kalik A. 24. Sanyang A. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G)
12. Bockaj P. 28. Canjuga I. 15. Ilinkovic S. 24. Marina M. 13. Mladenovski M. 18. Paizinho 30. Posinkovic L. 20. Sikosek G. 16. Tepsic N. 1. Zelenika O. (G)
Coaches
Garcia G.
Safaric N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', Sigur N. 🟨,
18', Brajkovic R. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Latkovic A. ⚽, Vuk M. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Lesjak S. (Own goal),
30', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Pukstas R. ⚽, Maresic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barac M. ↓, Mladenovski M. ↑,
46', Puclin D. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
46', Sarlija Z. ↓, Gabric R. ↑,
60', Melnjak D. ↓, Hrgovic S. ↑,
69', Duvnjak T. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
72', Sego M. ↓, Guram A. ↑,
72', Brajkovic R. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
77', Vuk M. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
82', Pukstas R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
82', Mamic L. ↓, Paizinho ↑,
90+3', Mladenovski M. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 1, Sanyang A. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Hajduk is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
In recent matches, Hajduk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Varaždin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Hajduk is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Hajduk: Diallo I.
(Inactive)
Hodak L.
(Muscle Injury)
Krovinovic F.
(Injury)
Raci R.
(Yellow Cards)
Rebic A.
(Injury)
Skelin M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Varaždin: Puncec R.
(Inactive)
Sikosek G.
(Inactive)
Skaricic L.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Hajduk Split
9
6
1
2
18:9
9
19
4
Varazdin
8
4
3
1
13:7
6
15
Last Results with these Odds
Hajduk Split - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.