Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Onefootball app


	Hamburger SV		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.2	4.5
	1.66	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.7	4.45	4.76
	1.71	4.29	4.58	Watch
	1.67	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.69	4.45	4.27	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	4.27 ↓ (4.54)	4.41 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
56.5%

Draw
22.1%

Magdeburg
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Hamburger SV - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 8. Elfadli D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 33. Katterbach N. 20. Richter M. 14. Reis L. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D. 11. Konigsdorffer R.	1. Reimann D. (C) 5. Muller T. 16. Mathisen M. 15. Heber D. 24. Hugonet J. 25. Gnaka S. 13. Krempicki C. 11. El Hankouri M. 20. Amaechi X. 9. Kaars M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 18. Jatta B. 17. Karabec A. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 29. Sahiti E.	29. Burcu L. 14. El-Zein A. 27. Hercher P. 37. Ito T. 30. Kruth N. (G) 2. Loric S. 21. Michel F. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Teixeira B.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
15', El Hankouri M. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Katterbach N. ⚽, Meffert J. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Amaechi X. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
46', Muller T. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
46', El Hankouri M. ↓, Nollenberger A. ↑,
55', Krempicki C. ↓, El-Zein A. ↑,
57', Schonlau S. 🟥,
60', Burcu L. 🟨,
60', Dompe J. ↓, Perrin L. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Kaars M. (Pen),
66', Reis L. 🟨,
67', Muheim M. 🟨,
69', Richter M. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
69', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
77', Gnaka S. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
87', Selke D. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Thigh Injury) Heuer Fernandes D. (Groin Injury) Zumberi V. (Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) Hercher P. (Thigh Injury) Marusic A. (Broken ankle)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Hamburger SV - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTTW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Nürnberg - Magdeburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.04.24	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	2:2
04.11.23	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:0
29.04.23	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	3:2
23.10.22	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:3
08.04.19	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	1:2
26.10.18	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:1
Club Friendly
06.10.16	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	1:2

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