Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:30	Fox Sports
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	13:30	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	20:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:30	Arena 4
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
Malaysia	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	13:30	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:30	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	15:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	20:30	beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	13:30	Sport TV2
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1
International	12:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.6	4.4
	1.6	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.7	4.67
	1.65	4.73	4.57	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5
	1.65	4.45	4.53	Watch
	1.6	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)	4.56 ↓ (4.7)	4.58 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
58.6%

Draw
20.8%

Nürnberg
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Hamburger SV - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 33. Katterbach N. 24. Perrin L. 3. Heyer M. 28. Muheim M. 17. Karabec A. 14. Reis L. (C) 8. Elfadli D. 6. Poreba L. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D.	1. Reichert J. (G) 4. Jeltsch F. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 2. Villadsen O. 20. Jander C. 17. Castrop J. 3. Soares D. T. 10. Justvan J. 30. Emreli M. 9. Tzimas S.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 18. Jatta B. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 19. Raab M. (G) 20. Richter M. 49. Stange O.	8. Duman T. 6. Flick F. 14. Goller B. 43. Hofmann J. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L. 33. Seidel N. 21. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Elfadli D. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
31', Reis L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Emreli M. ⚽, Knoche R. (A),
63', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
64', Dompe J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
65', Emreli M. 🟨,
67', Soares D. T. 🟨,
68', Emreli M. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
71', Soares D. T. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
71', Castrop J. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
75', Katterbach N. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
75', Selke D. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
81', Tzimas S. 🟨,
84', Tzimas S. ↓, Goller B. ↑,
85', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Thigh Injury) Hadzikadunic D. (Muscle Injury) Hefti S. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Forkel D. (Knee Injury) Handwerker T. (Knee Injury) Serra J. (Hip Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:14 (average 2.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	4:2 ✺
20.10.24	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Hamburger SV - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	8:3 ✺
20.10.24	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	0:4 ✺
05.10.24	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	4:1
16.12.23	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2
04.03.23	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	3:0
27.08.22	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2
05.03.22	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
26.09.21	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	2:2

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