Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)


	Queen of the South		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.6
	2.38	3.4	2.62
	2.41	3.61	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.7
	2.36	3.34	2.58	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.6)	3.4 ↓ (3.41)	2.64 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
38.5%

Draw
26.9%

Hamilton Academical
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Queen of the South will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 5. Douglas M. (C) 6. Hannah J. 3. Charters T. 4. Lyon R. 8. Luissint B. 7. Smith L. 11. Dickenson B. 10. Kennedy K. 28. Guthrie K.	31. Smith J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 4. Kilday L. 22. Loughrey C. 33. Hendrie S. 8. Smith C. 27. McKinstry S. 11. Mcluckie B. 17. Robinson S. (C) 19. Simpson E. 7. O'Hara K.
Substitutes
26. Green L. (G) 14. Johnstone B. 16. MacKenzie Z. 22. O'Donoghue F. 15. Rogerson N. 21. Ross E. 18. Stott J.	10. Bradley S. 45. Cameron F. 32. Eadie A. 40. Mackinnon D. 52. Marks M. (G) 49. Shiels D. 58. Stirling C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Douglas M. ⚽, Kennedy K. (A),
41', Loughrey C. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Douglas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Smith C. ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, Douglas M. ⚽,
56', O'Hara K. 🟨,
64', Simpson E. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
71', Kilday L. ↓, Shiels D. ↑,
72', Hannah J. 🟨,
76', Guthrie K. ↓, Stott J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Stott J. ⚽,
90', Robinson S. ↓, Cameron F. ↑,
90', Hewitt M. ↓, MacKenzie Z. ↑,
90', Smith L. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Dickenson B. ↓, O'Donoghue F. ↑,
90+3', Luissint B. ↓, Johnstone B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 1.

Queen of the South is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hamilton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Queen of the South may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hamilton has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Queen of the South - Montrose	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	4:3 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWTL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	5:2 ✺
Scottish League One
06.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
24.10.25	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	1:2
09.08.25	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	1:4
30.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	0:0
03.02.24	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	0:2
02.12.23	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	5:0
23.09.23	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	1:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	2:1 ET

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