Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)


	Hamilton Academical		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.25	2.18
	3	3.46	2.26
	2.99	3.45	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.03	3.24	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	3.31 (3.31)	2.19 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
30.3%

Draw
27.7%

Stenhousemuir
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. 30. Gallacher T. 27. McKinstry S. 16. MacDonald K. 28. Black B. 19. Simpson E. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 7. O'Hara K. 9. Shaw O.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 5. Jamieson N. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 6. Graham A. 2. Meechan R. 24. Grant L. 22. Whyte O. 14. Bilham K. 25. Ritchie-Hosler K. 9. Aitken M. 11. Taylor R.
Substitutes
21. Crookston G. 32. Eadie A. 20. Forrest C. 2. Hutton A. 18. Morgan L. 15. Newbury C. 49. Shiels D. 51. Stafford N. (G) 34. Syme M.	12. Cameron Z. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 23. McGill S. 7. O'Reilly E. 3. Simpson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Simpson E. 🟨,
35', MacDonald K. 🟨,
42', Meechan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽,
67', Taylor R. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
68', Black B. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
72', Simpson E. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
79', Ritchie-Hosler K. ↓, Cameron Z. ↑,
82', Jamieson N. 🟨,
84', Smutek K. ↓, Newbury C. ↑,
84', Grant L. ↓, McGill S. ↑,
90+4', Kilday L. 🟨,
90+4', Crookston G. 🟥,
90+5', O'Reilly E. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hamilton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stenhousemuir has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
28.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Hamilton Academical - East Fife	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLT
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
28.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Falkirk	0:2 ET ✺
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
06.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	0:0
27.09.25	Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir	2:0
Club Friendly
10.07.18	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	1:3
Scottish League Cup
29.07.17	Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir	3:0

Upcoming Matches