Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Nalbandyan H. (Arm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7, TVM Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 18
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Hamrun Spartans		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.65
	4.7	4.15	1.65
	4.71	4	1.67
	6.11	4.41	1.50	Watch
	4.94	4.17	1.67
	6	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (6.2)	4.19 ↓ (4.3)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
18.1%

Draw
22.7%

Lausanne-Sport
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.7%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.7%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne-Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	4.5%	86.4%

Hamrun Spartans - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lausanne-Sport (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lausanne-Sport will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lausanne-Sport will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 2 - 20%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 94. Camenzuli R. 27. Bjelicic O. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 91. Emerson 25. Ederson 24. Coric A. 77. Hadzi M. 9. Thioune S. 19. Koffi N.	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. 10. Custodio O. (C) 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 9. Bair T. 70. Diakite G.
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 20. Cadjenovic J. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 47. El Fanis M. 8. Garcia M. 6. Letherby D. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 14. Smajlagic S. 5. Xerri S.	20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 16. Beloko N. 19. Bruchez E. 1. Castella T. (G) 93. Fofana S. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 22. Kana-Biyik E. 27. Lekoueiry B. 54. Lippo R. 47. N'Diaye S. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Modica G.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Hadzi M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Diakite G. ⚽, Mouanga K. (A),
43', Roche J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sigua G. ↓, Lekoueiry B. ↑,
57', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
65', Hadzi M. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
67', Bair T. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
78', Emerson 🟨,
82', Koffi N. ↓, Cadjenovic J. ↑,
82', Ederson ↓, Smajlagic S. ↑,
86', Diakite G. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
87', Abdallah H. 🟨,
90', Bjelicic O. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
90+4', Custodio O. 🟨,
90+5', Soppy B. 🟨,
90+7', Cadjenovic J. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Hamrun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lausanne-Sport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hamrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lausanne-Sport is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hamrun: Mbong J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Al Saad M. (Inactive) Traore S. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
05.10.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWT
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
19.10.25	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Lausanne-Sport - Breiðablik	3:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
28.09.25	Sion - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
21.09.25	Concordia Basel - Lausanne-Sport	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW

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