Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Valletta		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.75	Watch
	1.54	3.92	5.22
	2.53	3.16	2.62	Watch
	1.61	3.68	4.87
	2.4	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.45)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	4.01 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
49.2%

Draw
27%

Paola Hibernians
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valletta's performance.

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valletta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valletta - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valletta will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valletta: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hibernians (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valletta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valletta (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Hibernians (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 28. Brewer S. 94. Jefferson 33. Mbende E. 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri	30. Sacco H. (G) 96. Charleston 13. Joao Teixeira 11. Kristensen B. (C) 70. Lima M. 9. Miullen 18. Pablo Alves 44. Pedrao 41. Pedro Cacho 7. Villela L. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 80. Gomes E. 31. Melillo T. 24. Muscat R. 8. Zammit A.	19. Abela L. 4. Alfred S. 8. Attard A. 22. Bonnici D. 1. Branescu L. (G) 24. Camilleri C. (G) 6. Caruana L. 27. Cleiton 20. Muscat D. 2. Ohaka J. 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Micallef T.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Thaylor 🟨,
10', Pedro Cacho 🟨,
14', Miullen 🟨,
14', Villela L. 🟨,
26', Mbende E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Thaylor ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 1.

Valletta is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hibernians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Valletta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Paola Hibernians - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
05.10.25	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Valletta - Mosta	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTW
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
03.10.25	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
14.04.24	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	2:2
09.12.23	Valletta - Paola Hibernians	0:2
17.12.22	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	0:4
21.08.22	Valletta - Paola Hibernians	1:1
12.02.22	Valletta - Paola Hibernians	1:4
24.10.21	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	1:1
07.02.21	Valletta - Paola Hibernians	1:4

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