Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Hannover		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.5
	1.69	3.7	4.8
	1.72	3.92	5.16
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.71	3.92	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	4.87 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
55.4%

Draw
25.2%

Erzgebirge Aue
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.6%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hannover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Hannover has the most likely position - 13 (10.7%), has project points - 41, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aue has the most likely position - 18 (25.43%), has project points - 31, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hannover is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hannover won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hannover won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German DFB Pokal
27.10.21	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.21	Jahn Regensburg - Hannover	3:1 ✺
15.10.21	Hannover - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Nürnberg - Hannover	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Hannover - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
22.10.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Karlsruher - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
01.10.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
24.09.21	Jahn Regensburg - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
19.09.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Paderborn	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
06.03.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover	1:1
07.11.20	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0
21.06.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover	2:1
07.12.19	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2
22.04.17	Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover	2:2
19.11.16	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0
Club Friendly
27.07.16	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	3:3

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