Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: HDI-Arena (Hannover)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hannover		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.2	4.6
	1.67	4.4	4.91
	1.6	4	5
	1.61	4.4	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	4.84 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
57.8%

Draw
22.6%

Ingolstadt
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Hannover - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Ingolstadt is Relegated to 3. Liga

Hannover has the most likely position - 14 (32.55%), has project points - 41, has currently - 39, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of promoted.

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (80.13%), has project points - 22, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.

This event has small quality 27, very small importance 0, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Hannover is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hannover is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hannover won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hannover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.22	Hamburger SV - Hannover	2:1 ✺
29.04.22	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Paderborn - Hannover	3:0 ✺
16.04.22	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.22	Ingolstadt - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Ingolstadt - Hamburger SV	0:4 ✺
22.04.22	Karlsruher - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Ingolstadt - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
08.04.22	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
11.12.21	Ingolstadt - Hannover	1:2
German Bundesliga
23.04.16	Ingolstadt - Hannover	2:2
28.11.15	Hannover - Ingolstadt	4:0

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