Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Ingolstadt		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.35
	2.88	3.4	2.35
	2.75	3.45	2.39
	2.93	3.61	2.44
	2.75	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.84	3.6	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.03)	3.49 (3.49)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
33.4%

Draw
27%

Paderborn
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Ingolstadt - Paderborn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 17 (63.1%), has project points - 24, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.

Paderborn has the most likely position - 8 (40.93%), has project points - 48, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, very small importance 1, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0.

Ingolstadt is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paderborn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paderborn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paderborn will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
08.04.22	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
01.04.22	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Ingolstadt - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
06.03.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.22	Paderborn - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
02.04.22	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
04.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
06.11.21	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	2:1
17.03.19	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	3:1
07.10.18	Ingolstadt - Paderborn	1:2
German DFB Pokal
20.08.18	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	2:1
19.12.17	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.14	Ingolstadt - Paderborn	1:2
01.11.13	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	1:1

Upcoming Matches