Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Karlsruher		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.85
	1.92	3.55	3.75
	1.97	3.66	4.01
	1.88	3.5	3.8
	1.93	3.8	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)	3.8 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
49.1%

Draw
26%

Ingolstadt
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlsruher's form might have worsened.

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ingolstadt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlsruher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ingolstadt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karlsruher - Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Karlsruher has the most likely position - 9 (25.12%), has project points - 45, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of promoted.

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (71.74%), has project points - 23, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 29, very small importance 0, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 0.

Recent matches Karlsruher is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Karlsruher is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
16.04.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Paderborn - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
03.04.22	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.22	Karlsruher - Basel	6:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.03.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Karlsruher	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
17.04.22	Ingolstadt - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
08.04.22	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
01.04.22	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Ingolstadt - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.11.21	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:1
Club Friendly
21.01.20	Karlsruher - Ingolstadt	4:0
01.07.17	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:0
13.01.16	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.15	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:3
27.09.14	Karlsruher - Ingolstadt	0:1
09.02.14	Karlsruher - Ingolstadt	1:1

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