Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Harrogate Town		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.5
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.82	3.3	4.9
	1.9	3.1	4.3
	1.94	3.23	4.76
	1.88	3.1	4.4
	1.96	3.34	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.51)	4.58 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
50%

Draw
29.3%

Southend United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

20.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southend United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	12%	40%

Harrogate Town - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Southend will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Harrogate has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Southend could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Harrogate is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
20.03.21	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.21	Harrogate Town - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
06.03.21	Stevenage Borough - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Southend United
English League Two
23.03.21	Southend United - Walsall	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Southend United - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
09.03.21	Southend United - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.09.20	Southend United - Harrogate Town	0:4

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