The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 27%
Draw 30%
Tranmere Rovers 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
28.8%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
21.7%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southend United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tranmere Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
5.1%
79.5%
Southend United - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tranmere Rovers will win
(31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.82% – 92.16%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs)).
Southend has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Tranmere has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Recent matches Southend is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tranmere is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tranmere will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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