Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	4.75
	1.58	4	5
	1.62	4.2	5
	1.61	3.95	5
	1.57	4.38	5.71
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.59	4.43	4.67	Watch
	1.55	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.35)	4.2 ↓ (4.92)	5.07 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
59.2%

Draw
22.3%

Swindon Town
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.9%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockport County's form might have worsened.

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Stockport County - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 32. Cass L. 6. Horsfall F. 5. Byrne N. 21. Hippolyte M. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 10. Sarcevic A. 11. Powell N. 3. Touray I. 25. Olaofe I. 9. Madden P. (C)	1. Bycroft J. (G) 24. McCarthy C. 31. Minturn H. 5. Blake-Tracey F. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 6. McEachran G. 16. Cain J. 17. Kokolo W. 20. Devoy D. 9. Glatzel P. 32. Austin C. (C)
Substitutes
27. Bailey O. 23. Bristow E. 30. Johnson C. 15. Pye E. 22. Richards R. 12. Smith J. (G) 19. Wootton K.	29. Aguair R. 25. Brann C. (G) 12. Brewitt T. 23. Drinan A. 11. Hepburn-Murphy R. 15. McGurk S. 10. McKirdy H.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Gunning G.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 18).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stockport is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stockport won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
20.02.24	Gillingham - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Grimsby Town - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWT
- Swindon Town
English League Two
17.02.24	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Gillingham - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Swindon Town - Salford City	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Newport County - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Swindon Town - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.11.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	2:4
25.03.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	0:1
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Stockport County - Swindon Town	4:0
English League Two
27.08.22	Stockport County - Swindon Town	1:1

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