The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 50%
Draw 25.6%
Flint Town United 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
26.4%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
26%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haverfordwest County's performance.
Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haverfordwest County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Haverfordwest County - Flint Town United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 17. McCarthy K. 15. Owen J. 2. Rees D. 8. Shephard C. 16. Twose C. 25. Walker J. 18. Walters G.
1. Flint J. (G) 2. Dean H. 12. Francis A. 8. Hughes B. 19. Jonas L. 16. Kane N. 4. McGahey H. 7. Mendes L. 23. Modi I. 5. Owen H. 17. Woollam B.
Substitutes
6. Bacon J. 23. Hughes W. 4. Kenniford K. 30. Myers L. (G) 14. Phillips B. 9. Rees L. 27. Thomas H.
3. Burke M. 13. Dempsey Z. (G) 10. Malkin J. 39. Marquez Y. 18. Morrison L. 9. Owolabi T. 14. Wilson C.
Coaches
Pennock T.
Holmes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Woollam B. 🟨,
22', Woollam B. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
24', Walker J. ↓, Phillips B. ↑,
33', Modi I. 🟨,
35', McGahey H. 🟨,
43', McCarthy K. 🟨,
45+2', Phillips B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Kane N. 🟨,
51', Hughes B. 🟨,
61', Hughes B. ↓, Malkin J. ↑,
61', Francis A. ↓, Owolabi T. ↑,
67', Shephard C. 🟥,
71', 🟨,
73', Twose C. ↓, Kenniford K. ↑,
73', Owen J. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
73', Kane N. ↓, Burke M. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Malkin J. ⚽,
90+2', Ahmun B. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 11th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 13th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3.
Haverfordwest has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Flint Town is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Flint Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Haverfordwest holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Haverfordwest has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:19 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Haverfordwest against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).
Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now
Haverfordwest: 0.82%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Haverfordwest
12
3
1
8
7:17
-10
10
13
Flint
12
2
2
8
12:24
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
Haverfordwest County - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Wales
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Knott I. (G) 
Hawkins D. 
Walker J. 
Mendes L. 
Owolabi T. 
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