Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

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	Heidenheim		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57	Watch
	5	4.4	1.58
	4.95	4.45	1.6	Watch
	5.37	4.65	1.58
	4.87	4.21	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.67
	5.27	4.56	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.85)	4.38 ↑ (4.28)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
19%

Draw
21.7%

Borussia Dortmund
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

22.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

21.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	2.3%	90.7%

Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 32. Paqarada L. 20. Kerber L. 3. Schoppner J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 21. Beck A. 17. Honsak M. 11. Zivzivadze B.	1. Kobel G. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 2. Couto Y. 13. Gross P. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 9. Guirassy S. 14. Beier M.
Substitutes
2. Busch M. 31. Conteh S. 30. Dorsch N. 19. Fohrenbach J. 29. Kaufmann M. 1. Muller K. (G) 16. Niehues J. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T.	7. Bellingham J. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 42. Kabar A. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Paqarada L. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
22', Zivzivadze B. 🟥,
27', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
39', Gimber B. 🟨,
45+2', Ryerson J. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gimber B. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
47', Beck A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
47', Schoppner J. 🟨,
65', Adeyemi K. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
65', Gross P. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
70', Honsak M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
74', Ryerson J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
74', Beier M. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
81', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
90+3', Guirassy S. 🟨,
90+4', Nmecha F. ↓, Mane F. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Borussia D is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Pieringer M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Brandt J. (Hand Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Kaiserslautern - Heidenheim	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Bahlinger - Heidenheim	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Heidenheim - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
31.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.02.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
13.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	4:2
02.02.24	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:0
01.09.23	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	2:2
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	3:4

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