Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation - Final

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	15:30	Disney+
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	20:30	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	15:30	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
China	02:30	ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, New World TV
Georgia	22:30	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
India	00:00	Vision+
Indonesia	01:30	RCTI+
Italy	20:30	Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	23:30	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	04:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 2
Romania	21:30	Digi Sport 3
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	03:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	SAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Tajikistan	23:30	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	21:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:30	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	19:30	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+
Vietnam	01:30	ON Plus
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Heidenheim		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.2
	2.35	3.6	3	Watch
	2.31	3.53	3.13
	2.31	3.47	3.04	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.54	3.07	Watch
	2.35	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
41.8%

Draw
27.1%

Elversberg
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

25.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	3%	18.2%

Heidenheim - Elversberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Elversberg (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Heidenheim (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidenheim will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 15 - 75%). Elversberg (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller K. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H. 3. Schoppner J. 13. Kratzig F. 39. Dorsch N. 21. Beck A. 18. Pieringer M. 17. Honsak M.	20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Baum E. 31. Rohr M. 3. Le Joncour F. 33. Neubauer M. 8. Sahin S. 6. Fellhauer R. (C) 25. Petkov L. 30. Damar M. 29. Zimmerschied T. 10. Asllani F.
Substitutes
31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 5. Gimber B. 20. Kerber L. 16. Niehues J. 8. Scienza L. 10. Wanner P. 12. Zivzivadze B.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Durholtz L. 22. Ebnoutalib Y. 7. Feil M. 27. Gerezgiher F. 1. Lehmann F. (G) 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Petkov L. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
26', Beck A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Asllani F. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Beck A. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
46', Pieringer M. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
46', Dorsch N. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Siersleben T. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Honsak M. ⚽,
76', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
78', Fellhauer R. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
78', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
86', Petkov L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
89', Asllani F. ↓, Ebnoutalib Y. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elversberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Heidenheim might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Muscle Injury) Kratzig F. (Illness) Negele C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
02.05.25	Heidenheim - Bochum	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWTWL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Nürnberg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Paderborn - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.04.14	Elversberg - Heidenheim	1:1
09.11.13	Heidenheim - Elversberg	1:0

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