Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 20

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Emmen		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.68	4	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.15
	1.78	3.99	4.32
	1.75	4.02	4.12	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.8
	1.79	3.75	4.04	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	3.88 ↑ (3.82)	4.09 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
53.1%

Draw
24%

Helmond Sport
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Emmen - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: Emmen will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Emmen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 36. Everink L. 4. Ostergaard C. 6. Mulder P. 17. Larsen L. 19. Claridge A. 21. Nunumete D. 18. Evina F. 8. Bakir A. 77. Gerezgiher F. 9. Postema R.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 36. Leipold A. 22. Dizdarevic A. 26. Makanza N. 27. Absalem A. 11. Daneels L. 16. Lukowicz M.
Substitutes
22. Beukers D. 1. Bucker K. (G) 5. Geypens T. 10. Hawkins J. 25. Kongolo R. 16. Norder K. (G) 12. Quispel F. 15. Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.	23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 34. Essakkati T. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 4. Koglin B. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
van Dam M.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Postema R. ⚽, Everink L. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Postema R. ⚽, Mulder P. (A),
15', Mulder P. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Evina F. (Own goal),
36', Bakir A. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Postema R. ⚽, Nunumete D. (A),
55', Daneels L. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
55', Absalem A. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
55', Lukowicz M. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
60', Makanza N. 🟨,
64', Poll T. 🟨,
71', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Hawkins J. ↑,
77', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
78', Et Taibi A. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
78', 4 - 1, Larsen L. ⚽,
81', Everink L. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
81', Nunumete D. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
81', Evina F. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
87', Quispel F. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 3.

Emmen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Helmond Sport is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Emmen: Everink L. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Emmen	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Emmen - Roda	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Willem II - Emmen	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTW
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht	2:4 ✺
28.11.25	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	2:0
24.02.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:2
23.08.24	Emmen - Helmond Sport	0:0
29.04.24	Emmen - Helmond Sport	3:0
24.11.23	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:2
01.03.22	Emmen - Helmond Sport	1:2
03.09.21	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:0

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