Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Cambuur		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.95	5.9
	1.44	5.09	6.36
	1.63	4.25	4.54	Watch
	1.43	4.69	6.42	Watch
	1.42	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)	4.75 ↑ (4.1)	5.95 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
64.4%

Draw
19.8%

Helmond Sport
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cambuur - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 46. Nap J. 22. Galvez T. 18. Rolke T. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 7. Balk R. 11. Sjostrand O. 14. van der Sande J.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 22. Dizdarevic A. 36. Leipold A. 19. Ingason H. 27. Absalem A. 16. Lukowicz M.
Substitutes
13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 33. Priem J. 8. Souren N. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.	23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 4. Koglin B. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
de Jong H.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
60', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
68', Bergsen M. 🟨,
68', Rolke T. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
68', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
73', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
73', Ingason H. ↓, Geerts D. ↑,
75', Galvez T. 🟨,
76', Balk R. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
85', van der Sande J. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
86', Et Taibi A. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
86', Absalem A. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
90+5', Makanza N. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.

Cambuur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Helmond Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambuur is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Cambuur - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Vitesse - Cambuur	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	4:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Helmond Sport - Zwolle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.04.25	Helmond Sport - Cambuur	1:1
18.08.24	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	0:1
10.05.24	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	1:1
01.09.23	Helmond Sport - Cambuur	2:1
16.04.21	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	4:1
06.10.20	Helmond Sport - Cambuur	1:5
13.09.19	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	5:1

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