Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.4
	2.36	3.7	2.46
	2.37	4	2.5
	2.37	3.88	2.46
	2.34	3.74	2.41
	2.36	3.7	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.01)	3.79 ↑ (3.68)	2.45 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
38.8%

Draw
24.1%

Bognor Regis Town
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hendon's form might have worsened.

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bognor Regis Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hendon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bognor Regis Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hendon - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Ilic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 3 - 0, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Mather J. ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, Opoku N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hendon is Relegated to

Bognor Regis is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hendon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.04.25	Potters Bar Town - Hendon	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Hendon - Chatham Town	3:3 ✺
12.04.25	Dover Athletic - Hendon	4:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hendon - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Canvey Island - Hendon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLWT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.08.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hendon	2:2
07.02.17	Hendon - Bognor Regis Town	2:2
26.11.16	Bognor Regis Town - Hendon	0:1
23.04.16	Bognor Regis Town - Hendon	4:0
05.12.15	Hendon - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
06.12.14	Bognor Regis Town - Hendon	4:1
18.08.14	Hendon - Bognor Regis Town	1:0

Hendon - Bognor Regis Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide