Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Japan	U-NEXT
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Go Ahead Eagles		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.7	3.05
	1.82	4.3	3.95
	1.62	4.36	4.68	Watch
	2.1	3.95	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.62)	4.04 ↓ (4.33)	3.62 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
49.2%

Draw
24%

Excelsior
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

21.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excelsior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	6.5%	6.5%

Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Excelsior (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Excelsior (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Go Ahead Eagles will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Go Ahead Eagles will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Excelsior (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 6. Twigt C. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 18. Margaret R. 24. Goudmijn K. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.	1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 3. Meissen R. 12. Zagre A. 8. Tielemans M. 6. Carlen A. 22. Mitrovic S. 23. Yegoian I. 11. de Regt G. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 23. Baeten T. 20. Blomme X. 26. Dirksen J. 8. Linthorst E. 14. Pettersson O. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.	24. Cairo G. 34. El Hamdaoui N. 5. Henderikx S. 17. Martens N. 25. Middendorp S. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 14. Schouten L. 29. van Duinen M. 7. Yoon D.
Coaches
Boel M.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Meissen R. 🟨,
43', Twigt C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mitrovic S. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
52', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Suray M. ⚽,
63', Twigt C. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
63', James D. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
64', Margaret R. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Suray M. ⚽, Kramer J. (A),
73', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
73', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
73', Tielemans M. ↓, El Hamdaoui N. ↑,
83', Meissen R. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
83', Smit M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
89', Goudmijn K. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Go Ahead could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Edvardsen V. (Injury) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury)

There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Breum J. (Injury) Nauber G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Panathinaikos - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.25	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLTWL
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.25	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Heerenveen - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.03.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	3:0
16.12.23	Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
14.04.23	Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1
29.10.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	3:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.05.21	Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1
31.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	0:0
07.09.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	2:2

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