Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Go Ahead Eagles		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.45
	7	5	1.44
	7.08	5.03	1.44
	9.09	3.43	1.51	Watch
	7.26	5.01	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (5.55)	4.64 ↑ (4.55)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
13.1%

Draw
20.8%

Aston Villa
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

20.9%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

20.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	2%	98%

Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Go Ahead (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Aston Villa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (49 of 50 users predict this - 98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 94.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 15 - 93.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 18. Margaret R. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.	23. Martinez E. (G) 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. (C) 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 19. Sancho J. 24. Onana A. 26. Bogarde L. 29. Guessand E. 11. Watkins O. 10. Buendia E.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 32. Boakye O. 26. Dirksen J. 24. Goudmijn K. 8. Linthorst E. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 6. Twigt C. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.	40. Bizot M. (G) 83. Burrowes B. 2. Cash M. 9. Elliott H. 44. Kamara B. 4. Konsa E. 17. Malen D. 7. McGinn J. 52. Proctor S. (G) 27. Rogers M.
Coaches
Boel M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Guessand E. ⚽,
14', Nauber G. 🟨,
15', Nauber G. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
39', Breum J. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Twigt C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Deijl M. ⚽, Kramer J. (A),
66', Onana A. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
66', Lindelof V. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
67', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
67', Sancho J. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
76', Bogarde L. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
79', Buendia E. (Pen),
83', Suray M. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,
83', Margaret R. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
83', Salah Rahmouni Y. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
90', Weijenberg R. 🟨,

Preview

Go Ahead is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aston Villa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Aston Villa is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T. (Inactive) Blomme X. (Inactive) Edvardsen V. (Injury) Pettersson O. (Inactive) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Inactive) Garcia A. (Inactive) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Ankle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Panathinaikos - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.25	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Go Ahead Eagles - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Aston Villa - Burnley	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Feyenoord - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
28.09.25	Aston Villa - Fulham	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

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