Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:30	Disney+
Brazil	12:30	Disney+
Canada	10:30	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	12:30	Disney+
Colombia	10:30	Disney+
Hong Kong	23:30	myTV SUPER
Mexico	09:30	Disney+
Netherlands	16:30	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	10:30	Disney+
Russia	18:30	TV Start
Slovakia	16:30	Arena sport 1
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+
International	15:30	Triller TV+


	NEC Nijmegen		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.47	5	5.75
	1.39	4.9	7.8
	1.39	5.17	7.83
	1.41	5.03	6.87	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.42	4.99	7.31	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)	4.9 ↓ (5)	7.13 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
67.4%

Draw
19.4%

Heracles Almelo
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.7%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	21.7%	8.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 2. Pereira B. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 6. Cestic S. 24. Mesik I. 2. Benita M. 70. Hrustic A. 4. Mirani D. (C) 5. van der Kust D. 73. Ould Chikh W. 9. Unuvar N. 25. Zeefuik L.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 25. Ouaissa S. 5. Ouwejan T. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.	14. Ahlstrand E. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 16. Jansink T. (G) 19. Kulenovic L. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 27. Tijink J. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J. 13. Zamburek J.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Faber E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Sandler P. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Unuvar N. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Chery T. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 3 - 1, Onal B. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Kaplan A. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
79', Benita M. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
79', van der Kust D. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
80', Pereira B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
80', Linssen B. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, El Kachati Y. (A),
90+1', Sandler P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
90+1', Chery T. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
90+2', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
90+3', Mesik I. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.

Nijmegen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Heracles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nijmegen is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heracles: Bruns T. (Injury) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: de Keijzer F. (Inactive)

We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17:18	-1	11

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heracles: 18.11% Nijmegen: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.01.26	De Treffers - NEC Nijmegen	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo	4:2 ✺
18.01.26	Heracles Almelo - Twente	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.25	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	1:4
18.05.25	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo	1:2
03.02.24	NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo	3:1
18.08.23	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	1:3

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