Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Heracles Almelo		Twente

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.75	1.5	Watch
	6.4	4.45	1.49
	6.01	4.56	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4	1.44
	6.63	4.53	1.49	Watch
	6	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (4.77)	4.47 ↑ (3.96)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
15.3%

Draw
21.1%

Twente
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

23.7%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Heracles Almelo - Twente Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Heracles (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Twente will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Twente will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Twente (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jansink T. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 14. Ahlstrand E. 13. Zamburek J. 70. Hrustic A. 73. Ould Chikh W. 19. Kulenovic L. 25. Zeefuik L.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 23. Lemkin S. 3. Propper R. (C) 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.
Substitutes
39. Blokhuis S. 10. Bruns T. 1. de Keijzer F. (G) 8. Engels M. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 27. Tijink J. 5. van der Kust D. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J.	38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 10. Lammers S. 43. Nijstad R. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.
Coaches
Faber E.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', van den Belt T. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽,
37', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, van Wolfswinkel R. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Hrustic A. 🟨,
58', Zerrouki R. 🟥,
60', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
60', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
65', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
66', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
67', Lemkin S. 🟨,
68', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
69', van Rooij B. 🟨,
70', Mirani D. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
85', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
86', Ahlstrand E. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
90', van den Belt T. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.

Heracles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Twente is the team to beat.

There will not play in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y. (Injury) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Booth T. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Milani L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heracles: 17.84% Twente: 3.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15:7	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Hoogeveen	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- FC Twente
Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Feyenoord - Twente	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Spakenburg - Twente	3:6 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Twente - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
05.10.25	Twente - Heracles Almelo	2:1
30.03.25	Heracles Almelo - Twente	2:1
27.10.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	5:0
31.03.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	1:0
22.10.23	Heracles Almelo - Twente	2:2
30.04.22	Heracles Almelo - Twente	1:1
05.11.21	Twente - Heracles Almelo	1:0

Upcoming Matches