Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Hertha Berlin		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.37
	2.7	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.79	3.92	2.41
	2.73	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.3
	2.74	3.82	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.99)	3.72 ↓ (4.01)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
34.7%

Draw
25.3%

Köln
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

23.8%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.5%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	23.5%	17.6%

Hertha Berlin - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Köln will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 16. Kenny J. 37. Leistner T. (C) 31. Dardai M. 42. Zeefuik D. 8. Sessa K. 33. Karbownik M. 27. Cuisance M. 10. Maza I. 39. Scherhant D. 7. Niederlechner F.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 3. Heintz D. 24. Pauli J. 29. Thielmann J. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 37. Maina L. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
5. Bouchalakis A. 20. Dardai P. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 41. Klemens P. 21. Lum B. 9. Prevljak S. 18. Schuler L. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 22. Winkler M.	38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 42. Downs D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 40. Urbig J. (G) 9. Waldschmidt L.
Coaches
Fiel C.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽, Heintz D. (A),
41', Leistner T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sessa K. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. D. ↑,
52', Leistner T. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
58', Dardai M. 🟨,
62', Karbownik M. 🟨,
67', Karbownik M. ↓, Lum B. ↑,
67', Niederlechner F. ↓, Prevljak S. ↑,
68', Lemperle T. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
72', Pauli J. 🟨,
73', Ljubicic D. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
76', Schwabe M. 🟨,
79', Heintz D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
80', Maina L. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
89', Maza I. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
90+4', Thorsteinsson J. D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 1.

Hertha in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Köln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Köln have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A. (Ankle Injury) Dudziak J. (Groin Injury) Gechter L. (Broken collarbone) Reese F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Adamyan S. (Ankle Injury) Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Demme D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Downs D. (Illness) Finkgrafe M. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hertha won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Hertha Berlin	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWT
- 1. FC Köln
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Köln - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Köln - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.05.23	Köln - Hertha Berlin	5:2
12.11.22	Hertha Berlin - Köln	2:0
09.01.22	Hertha Berlin - Köln	1:3
15.08.21	Köln - Hertha Berlin	3:1
15.05.21	Hertha Berlin - Köln	0:0
16.01.21	Köln - Hertha Berlin	0:0
22.02.20	Hertha Berlin - Köln	0:5

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