Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Holstein Kiel		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4.6
	1.67	3.8	4.8
	1.73	3.84	5.2
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.65	4.15	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)	3.83 ↑ (3.63)	4.97 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
56.2%

Draw
24.7%

Erzgebirge Aue
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	9.4%	13.2%

Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 41 - 77.4%). Aue will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 66.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 15 (7.73%), has project points - 42, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Aue has the most likely position - 18 (19.92%), has project points - 35, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holstein Kiel is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
20.08.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	SC Weiche-08 - Holstein Kiel	2:4 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.08.21	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
25.07.21	St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
22.08.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
13.08.21	Schalke 04 - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
09.08.21	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.08.21	Erzgebirge Aue - St. Pauli	0:0 ✺
25.07.21	Nürnberg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.02.21	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
31.10.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	1:1
16.02.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	1:2
01.09.19	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1
15.03.19	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	5:1
06.10.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	2:1
17.02.18	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2

Upcoming Matches