Match Info

FA Trophy - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.6	1.85
	3.75	3.78	1.85
	3.59	3.95	1.86
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.58	3.89	1.88
	3.6	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.79)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Horsham
25.4%

Draw
24.9%

Southend United
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.3%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.5%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Horsham - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Appiah-Forson K. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Bridge J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Philpott I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Southend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Southend is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Horsham - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Enfield Town - Horsham	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Slough Town - Horsham	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTT
- Southend United
English National League
24.02.26	Southend United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Brackley Town - Southend United	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Southend United - Morecambe	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Chatham Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches