Match Info

National League South - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.45	3.65
	1.87	3.6	3.96
	1.92	3.65	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.98	3.64	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
48.7%

Draw
26.2%

Tonbridge Angels
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Horsham - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Sutcliffe E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 17).

Horsham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tonbridge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Horsham has had a series of home games.

Horsham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horsham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3% Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Horsham - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
10.03.26	Horsham - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Totton - Horsham	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Horsham - Southend United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Horsham - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
10.03.26	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Horsham	1:2

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