Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Houston Dynamo		San Diego

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.1	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.95	3.55	Watch
	1.97	4.08	3.64
	1.91	4.1	3.51	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.4
	1.98	4	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.1)	3.97 ↑ (3.5)	3.52 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
49.1%

Draw
23.9%

San Diego
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Houston Dynamo - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 34. Resch A. 3. Antonio Carlos (C) 21. Negri F. 36. Felipe Andrade 30. Bouzat A. 18. Samassekou D. 24. Aliyu I. 19. Bogusz M. 20. Guilherme 9. Lingr O.	18. Ferree D. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 17. Soe O. 26. Duah M. 97. McVey C. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 9. Morgan L. 77. Mighten A.
Substitutes
6. Artur 11. Ennali L. 16. Herrera H. 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 1. Maurer J. (G) 10. Ponce E. 28. Sviatchenko E. 13. Vines S.	70. Alvarado Jr A. 1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 21. Duke B. 7. Ingvartsen M. 90. Pellegrino A. 25. Pilcher I. 29. Saidi A. 19. Vazquez D. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Aliyu I. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
38', Godoy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Samassekou D. ↓, Artur ↑,
66', Guilherme ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
66', Godoy A. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
66', Morgan L. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
75', Bogusz M. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
75', Bouzat A. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
78', Soe O. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
79', Mighten A. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
79', Pellegrino A. 🟥,
90+1', Felipe Andrade ↓, Sviatchenko E. ↑,
90+1', Verhoeven O. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
90+3', Negri F. 🟨,
90+7', Pilcher I. 🟨,
90+7', Lingr O. 🟥,
90+11', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Houston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Diego has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Houston might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Bombino L. (Lower-Body Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pilcher I. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury) Sargeant K. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Houston: McGlynn J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Diego: Sisniega P. (Back Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Houston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
18.04.26	Orlando City - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive	4:1 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Houston Dynamo	6:2 ✺
04.04.26	Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- San Diego FC
MLS
18.04.26	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	4:2 ✺
11.04.26	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Toluca - San Diego	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.10.25	Houston Dynamo - San Diego	2:4
05.07.25	San Diego - Houston Dynamo	3:4

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