Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: John Smith's Stadium (Huddersfield)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Huddersfield Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.35	3.27	2.33
	3.29	3.12	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	3.3	3.15	2.29	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.58)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.3 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huddersfield Town
28.9%

Draw
30%

Birmingham City
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huddersfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huddersfield Town's form might have worsened.

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huddersfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Huddersfield will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chapman J. (G) 4. Pearson M. 32. Lees T. 17. Spencer B. 2. Sorensen L. 21. Evans A. 6. Hogg J. (C) 16. Kane H. 26. Roosken R. 7. Marshall C. 15. Charles D.	21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. (C) 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 12. Leonard M. 24. Iwata T. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 28. Stansfield J. 14. Anderson K. 17. Dykes L.
Substitutes
24. Balker R. 11. Healey R. 41. Hodge J. 10. Koroma J. 1. Nicholls L. (G) 9. Radulovic B. 20. Turton O.	6. Bielik K. 30. Dowell K. 31. Hanley G. 26. Harris L. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 11. Wright S.
Coaches
Duff M.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Spencer B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Anderson K. ⚽, Gardner-Hickman T. (A),
53', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
58', Sorensen L. ↓, Turton O. ↑,
58', Kane H. ↓, Hodge J. ↑,
63', Roosken R. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
67', Anderson K. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
72', Charles D. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
72', Marshall C. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
77', Hogg J. 🟨,
79', Iwata T. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
79', Stansfield J. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
85', Dykes L. 🟨,
87', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
87', Dykes L. ↓, May A. ↑,
88', Lees T. ↓, Balker R. ↑,
90+6', May A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huddersfield won 1.

Recent matches Huddersfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birmingham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Huddersfield won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Huddersfield won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huddersfield Town
English League One
25.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Blackpool - Huddersfield Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Huddersfield Town	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWTT
- Birmingham City
English League One
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Birmingham City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Swindon Town - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Birmingham City - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.10.24	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	1:0
English League Championship
27.04.24	Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City	1:1
03.10.23	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	4:1
18.02.23	Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City	2:1
05.08.22	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	2:1
26.02.22	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	0:2
20.10.21	Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City	0:0

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