Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 36

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.51	4	6.25
	1.57	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	7.39
	1.54	3.76	6.64	Watch
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.54	4.15	6.2	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	3.9 ↓ (4.1)	6.56 ↓ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
61.4%

Draw
24.2%

Lincoln City
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Birmingham City - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. (C) 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 30. Dowell K. 7. Hansson E. 28. Stansfield J.	1. Wickens G. (G) 5. Jackson A. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 14. McGrandles C. 2. Darikwa T. 8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 16. Jefferies D. 27. Makama J. 25. Collins J.
Substitutes
14. Anderson K. 31. Hanley G. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 12. Leonard M. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 18. Willumsson W. T.	17. Clucas S. 34. Draper F. 32. Gardner J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 22. Hamer T. 11. Hamilton E. 31. Jeacock Z. (G)
Coaches
Davies C.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Stansfield J. 🟨,
32', Klarer C. 🟨,
45+1', Allsop R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Bielik K. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
54', Hansson E. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
65', Bayliss T. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
65', Makama J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
65', Collins J. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Dowell K. (Pen),
71', Stansfield J. ↓, May A. ↑,
76', Darikwa T. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
81', Jackson A. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
85', McGrandles C. 🟨,
88', Dowell K. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 12).

Birmingham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lincoln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Allsop R. (Inactive) Anderson K. (Inactive) Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Inactive) Laird E. (Inactive) Wright S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lincoln: Walker T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Leonard M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Moylan J. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League One
04.03.25	Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Birmingham City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
25.02.25	Birmingham City - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Reading - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.02.25	Birmingham City - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTW
- Lincoln City
English League One
04.03.25	Lincoln City - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	4:3 ✺
22.02.25	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.01.25	Birmingham City - Lincoln City	2:1
English League One
19.10.24	Lincoln City - Birmingham City	1:3

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