Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.50	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.40
	2.25	3.20	3.15	Watch
	2.22	3.31	3.56
	2.25	3.21	3.38	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.45
	2.24	3.30	3.56	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.41)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)	3.43 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
42.9%

Draw
29.3%

Birmingham City
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Wrexham - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Patterson A. (G) 26. Vyner Z. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 30. Imray D. 8. Whiteman B. 27. O'Brien L. 3. Ekomie J. 20. Rathbone O. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Moore K.	1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Vicente C. 10. Gray D. 28. Stansfield J. 9. Priske A.
Substitutes
11. Cadamarteri B. 4. Cleworth M. 37. James M. 12. Kabore I. 47. Longman R. 24. Scarr D. 21. Ward D. (G) 10. Windass J.	21. Allsop R. (G) 33. Ducksch M. 23. Fry D. 2. Laird E. 25. Lund K. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 32. Vazquez L. 11. Wright S.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Cochrane A. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Neumann P. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gray D. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
50', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Doyle C. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
63', 1 - 2, Neumann P. ⚽, Priske A. (A),
71', Broadhead N. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
71', Rathbone O. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
71', Ekomie J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
71', Imray D. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
74', Stansfield J. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
79', Moore K. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
82', Priske A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
90', Vicente C. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
90', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
90+3', Cadamarteri B. 🟨,

Preview

Wrexham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Revan S. (Hamstring Injury) Thomason G. (Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Gardner-Hickman T. (Injury) Leonard M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Sheaf B. (Inactive) Windass J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 2% Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Birmingham City - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
22.08.26	Wrexham - Watford	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Cardiff City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
07.08.26	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
02.08.26	Wrexham - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Liverpool - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLL
- Birmingham City
English League Cup
25.08.26	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:6 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Birmingham City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Birmingham City - Barcelona	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.04.26	Birmingham City - Wrexham	2:0
03.10.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1
English League One
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1

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