Match Info

League One - Round 38

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: John Smith's Stadium (Huddersfield)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Huddersfield Town		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.3
	3	3.25	2.3
	2.92	3.25	2.38
	3.08	3.35	2.41
	2.93	3.29	2.39	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.01	3.2	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.48)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huddersfield Town
31.3%

Draw
29%

Lincoln City
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huddersfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huddersfield Town's form might have worsened.

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huddersfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Huddersfield Town - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Huddersfield will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huddersfield: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lincoln (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Huddersfield (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Huddersfield (votes: 1 - 25%). Lincoln (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nicholls L. (G) 20. Feeney J. 3. Wallace M. 23. Roughan S. 7. Gooch L. 4. Ledson R. (C) 8. Humphreys C. 19. Mumba B. 18. Kasumu D. 21. Evans A. 29. Hardie R.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 18. House B. 10. Moylan J. 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 17. Street R.
Substitutes
31. Alnwick J. (G) 36. Ashia C. 10. Harness M. 26. May A. 17. McGuane M. 2. Sorensen L. 6. Whatmough J.	8. Bayliss T. 25. Elerewe D. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 20. One R. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.
Coaches
Manning L.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Hardie R. ⚽, Evans A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Ledson R. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Feeney J. (Own goal),
40', Feeney J. 🟨,
45+2', Gooch L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lloyd A. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
53', Hardie R. ↓, May A. ↑,
54', Gooch L. ↓, Sorensen L. ↑,
61', Evans A. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
62', Jefferies D. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
62', House B. ↓, One R. ↑,
73', Reach A. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
79', Bayliss T. 🟨,
79', Kasumu D. ↓, McGuane M. ↑,
86', Darikwa T. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
90', Nicholls L. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Towler R. ⚽,
90+4', Towler R. 🟨,
90+7', Humphreys C. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Huddersfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Huddersfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huddersfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Huddersfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Huddersfield: 11.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Huddersfield	9	4	4	1	16:9	7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Huddersfield Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Lincoln City - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.95%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huddersfield Town
English League One
14.03.26	Port Vale - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wigan Athletic - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWL
- Lincoln City
English League One
14.03.26	Lincoln City - Stockport County	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cardiff City - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Lincoln City - Blackpool	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.01.26	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	0:2
English League One
01.04.25	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:0
14.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Lincoln City	2:2
English League Cup
13.08.19	Huddersfield Town - Lincoln City	0:1

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